Meet Funded Prediction Trader: A New Path From Prediction Skill to Payouts

A trader who prices a Fed decision better than the market earns in proportion to the money already in their account. Skill compounds. The account under it does not. That gap is why we started this company.

You have probably felt it. A read lands, the position is capped by what you happened to have on hand at the start of the year, and a good call pays like a small one. So you scale down, take fewer shots, and the edge you actually have never gets tested at size.

FPT Scale is our answer. One evaluation on a simulated trading account, then a funded account with published rules, a 90% profit split, and payout caps that rise as approved payouts stack up.

Prediction markets got big in a hurry. Combined monthly volume across Kalshi and Polymarket climbed from under $5 billion in September 2025 to about $24 billion in April 2026, on Pew Research Center's reading of data from The Block. Both sit on the CFTC register of designated contract markets.

Two workarounds exist. Both charge you something. Trade your own account and you answer to nobody, but the ceiling is your balance rather than your read. Buy a futures evaluation and the funded structure is pointed at the wrong instruments: what you actually price is crude or EURUSD, not event contracts. One long-running program describes its own accounts as demo accounts with fictitious funds.

The product is four moves, and none of them sit behind a sales call. Pass one evaluation, trade funded, get paid within 48 hours of approval, then unlock more size.

Account size is the benchmark your profit target, max loss and drawdown are measured against. It is not cash paid to you and not buying power. What you can hold at any moment is your max open size, $1,000 on a funded $50k account.

Suppose your best market is a quiet one. Your account's max open size says one thing, and the market's own depth says another. The smaller of the two wins, every time.

Three rules took the longest to settle internally. Each one costs us something, and each one stayed in.

Prop traders react to this one first. We took away a circuit breaker, not a risk: max loss and end-of-day trailing drawdown both still apply. An event contract can reprice at 3am, with no session close to be flat by.

The 40% consistency rule applies to funded payout cycles, not just the evaluation. It is the rule that costs us sales. One enormous day cannot produce one enormous payout, and a ladder that pays on a single lucky resolution measures nothing.

No position may exceed 5% of a market's 24-hour volume. Futures rulebooks cap contracts or lots. None we read caps you against the market itself. In a thin book that is the tighter limit, better published than found in a bad fill. Rule by rule against the futures norm goes further.

This will not fit every edge, and we would rather say so before you pay than after you fail. Read the list honestly. You know your own trading better than any landing page does.

FPT is pre-launch. That produces one honest list and one dishonest temptation.

• No payout screenshots and no payout totals.
• No pass rates, no trader P&L, no performance history.
• No member counts or live-joiner popups.
• No reviews, ratings, testimonials or awards.

When approved payouts exist, we publish the numbers and the method.

Founding pricing holds while the waitlist stays open: $99 on the $50k FPT Scale with the code FOUNDER against $249 regular, a monthly plan at $79/mo, and $99 for a reset. The launch unlocks once the first 100 spots fill. No countdown on this page, because we do not know the date.

Last thing. The two rules most likely to end a good evaluation are the end-of-day trailing drawdown and the 40% consistency rule. Both are written out in the rules and FAQ. Read those two, then choose.