Blogs
Prediction markets, funded trading, and the space between them.
What Is a Prediction-Market Prop Firm? A Plain-English Guide
It is not a broker, a sportsbook, or a signals group. A skeptic's walkthrough of the funded prediction-market model: what the fee buys, what the rules do, and the two kinds of trader it will punish.
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Market Outlook8 minPrediction Markets Went Mainstream. What Happens After the First Big Wave?
Wave one ran on elections and scaled on sports. A same-day census of both venues shows where the volume actually piles up.
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Venues & Mechanics9 minKalshi vs. Polymarket: Which Prediction-Market Experience Fits Your Edge?
One UFC bout, listed on both venues, priced two different ways. A dated walk through fees, collateral, resolution, order mechanics and real book depth, ending with a rule for picking by edge shape.
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Funded Trading8 minFunded Prediction Trader vs. Traditional Prop Firms: The Same Idea, a Different Market
Same evaluation logic, same drawdown discipline, same payout cadence, moved onto event contracts. Rule by rule, plus the five places FPT is stricter than the firm you already use.
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Prediction Markets 1017 minPrediction Markets vs. Sportsbooks: Why the Experience Feels So Different
A plain-English tour of the mechanics a newcomer keeps bumping into: the counterparty, the price that is really a probability, the exit, the fee, and the risks none of it removes.
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Funded Trading7 minHow Five Accounts Add Up to $500K of Simulated Prediction-Market Allocation
Five accounts, one ceiling. We walk the $100k route from evaluation to the top payout rung, then show why the most you can hold open at one moment is $17,500.
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Funded Trading7 minWhy Prop Traders Are Looking Past Futures. What Actually Transfers.
You already passed an eval. Here is what comes with you into event contracts, what turns up doing a different job, and what you leave at the door.
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Event Edge8 minUFC on Prediction Markets: You Called the Fight. Could You Have Priced It?
Both Kalshi and Polymarket listed the August 1, 2026 UFC Fight Night. Here is that card read as a price instead of a pick, and the honest gap between knowing a fight and being able to trade one.
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Market Outlook7 minWhy Capital Access Could Be the Next Layer of Prediction-Market Growth
Skill and money fail separately, and this category has fixed neither together. The case for an evaluation layer, plus the three objections that could sink it, at full strength.
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Inside FPT7 minMeet Funded Prediction Trader: A New Path From Prediction Skill to Payouts
A founding letter from the FPT desk: the constraint that started the company, the three rules we argued hardest about, the traders it is wrong for, and the founding window exactly as it stands.
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